Integrated Watershed Management

Integrated Watershed Management

Investigating temporal and spatial changes in hydrological response to flooding in the Balikhlouchay Watershed

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
Department of Reclamation of Arid and Mountainous Regions, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran
Abstract
Extended Abstract
Introduction: Flooding is one of the most common and destructive natural hazards worldwide, with numerous economic, social, and environmental consequences. In fact, one-third of the costs associated with natural disasters are related to floods. Floods occur when river flow exceeds its carrying capacity, which can result from factors such as intense or prolonged rainfall, frozen ground during precipitation, sudden snowmelt, deforestation, river blockage, and dam failure. In Iran, poor economic conditions and the inability of livestock owners to provide sufficient forage have led to overgrazing, which exacerbates soil erosion and increases flood risk. Rainfall is a key factor in flood occurrence, exhibiting significant spatial and temporal variations influenced by elevation, slope, soil characteristics, land use, and geology. The concept of the Hydrological Response Unit (HRU) is a widely used approach in hydrological modeling. Therefore, defining and measuring key hydrological response indicators at the watershed scale is essential for effective water and soil resource management and for reducing flood risk.
Materials and Methods: This study analyzes hydrological data from the Balikhloochai watershed. The research process includes the collection, processing, and analysis of river flow data. Five hydrometric stations with a common 20-year statistical period (2003–2023) were selected. Key hydrological response indicators, including base flow index, peak discharge, runoff depth, drainage density, and recession coefficient, were calculated. Base flow was extracted using the one-parameter digital filter method, and its index was calculated as the ratio of base flow to total streamflow. The recession coefficient was obtained from an exponential recession model. Spatial variations of the indicators were analyzed using GIS-based interpolation techniques. In addition, the Mann–Kendall test was applied using Pro UCL software to detect temporal trends in river flow changes.
Results and Discussion: Analysis of Hydrological Response Indicators in the Balikhloochai Watershed revealed that geological conditions, topography, and physical characteristics of the basin have a significant impact on flood behavior and river flow stability. In particular, the high values of the base flow index at the Nir station indicate the influence of permeable geological structures and effective aquifer recharge. In contrast, the high drainage density at the Pol-e Almas station reflects the basin’s rapid response to rainfall and the occurrence of flash floods. These results are consistent with findings from similar studies in other Iranian watersheds and confirm the critical role of geological conditions and hydro-geomorphological structures in shaping the flood hydrograph pattern.
Conclusion: The analysis of hydrological response indicators in the Balikhloochai watershed highlights the significant influence of geological, topographic, and land surface characteristics on flood behavior and flow regime. The spatial distribution of base flow index, drainage density, and runoff depth across the watershed indicates notable variability, driven by differences in permeability, land cover, and geomorphological structure. For instance, higher base flow index values in the Nir station emphasize the importance of permeable geological layers and sustained groundwater contributions, whereas areas with high drainage density, such as the Pol-e Almas station, demonstrate rapid hydrological response and increased susceptibility to flash flooding. These variations reflect the complex hydrological functioning of the watershed and underscore the need for location-specific flood management strategies. The use of GIS-based spatial analysis and the Mann–Kendall trend test provided valuable insights into the temporal dynamics of key hydrological indicators. The observed trends in river flow suggest that changes in land use, soil conditions, and climate variability may be contributing to increasing flood risks in certain sub-regions.
Keywords
Subjects

Abghari, H., Tabari, H., & Hosseinzadeh Talaee, P. (2013). River flow trends in the west of Iran during the past 40 years: Impact of precipitation variability. Global and Planetary Change, 101, 52–60. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.12.003
Ahmadi, F., Zamani, O., Mirzaei, H., & Azadi, H. (2024). Exploring the impact of dust storms on pastoralists’ livelihoods in West Iran: Social, economic, and environmental consequences. Environmental Quality Management, 33(2), 821–833. http://doi.org/10.1002/tqem.22158
Bacchi, B., & Kottegoda, N.T. (1995). Identification and calibration of spatial correlation patterns of rainfall. Journal of Hydrology, 165(1–4), 311–348. https://doi.org/10.1016/00221694(94)02590-8
Blöschl, G., Sivapalan, M., Wagener, T., Viglione, A., & Savenije, H. (Eds.). (2013). Runoff prediction in ungauged basins: Synthesis across processes, places and scales. Cambridge University Press. http://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139235761.006
Brandt, W. T., Haleakala, K., Hatchett, B. J., & Pan, M. (2022). A review of the hydrologic response mechanisms during mountain rain-on-snow. Frontiers in Earth Science, 10, 791760. http://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.791760
Carey, W. C. (1969). Formation of floodplain lands. Journal of the Hydraulics Division, American Society of Civil Engineers, 95, 981–994.
Chow, V. T., Maidment, D. R., & Mays, L. W. (1988). Applied hydrology. McGraw-Hill
Cristiano, E., ten Veldhuis, M. C., & Van De Giesen, N. (2017). Spatial and temporal variability of rainfall and their effects on hydrological response in urban areas–a review. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21(7), 3859–3878. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3859-2017
D’Odorico, P., & Rigon, R. (2003). Hillslope and channel contributions to the hydrologic response. Water Resources Research, 39(5), 1125–1135. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002WR001708
Dingman, S. L. (2015). Physical hydrology. Waveland Press. pp 643.
Dos Santos, V., Laurent, F., Abe, C., & Messner, F. (2018). Hydrologic response to land use change in a large basin in eastern Amazon. Water, 10(4), 429. http://doi.org/10.3390/w10040429.
Daneshi, A., Brouwer, R., Najafinejad, A., Panahi, M., Zarandian, A., & Maghsood, F. F. (2021). Modelling the impacts of climate and land use change on water security in a semi-arid forested watershed using InVEST. Journal of Hydrology, 593, 125621. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125621
Ebel, B. A., Shephard, Z. M., Walvoord, M. A., Murphy, S. F., Partridge, T. F., & Perkins, K. S. (2023). Modeling post‐wildfire hydrologic response: Review and future directions for applications of physically based distributed simulation. Earth’s Future, 11(2), e2022EF003038. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003038
Eckhardt, K. (2008). A comparison of baseflow indices, which were calculated with seven different baseflow separation methods. Journal of Hydrology, 352(1–2), 168–173. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.01.005
Eckhardt, K. (2005). How to construct recursive digital filters for baseflow separation. Hydrological Processes, 19(2), 507–515. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.5675
Farrokhzadeh, B., Choobeh, S., Nouri, H., & Goodarzi, M. (2018). Study of climate change and land use changes impacts on surface runoff: BalighloChai Watershed in Ardebil. Watershed Engineering and Management, 10(3), 318–331. http://doi.org/10.22092/ijwmse.2017.107110.1165
Fohrer, N., Haverkamp, S., Eckhardt, K., & Frede, H. G. (2001). Hydrologic Response to Land Use Changes on the Catchment Scale. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Part B: Hydrology, Oceans and Atmosphere, 26(7–8), 577–582. http://doi.org/10.1016/S14641909(01)00052-1
Garrote, J., Alvarenga, F. M., & Díez-Herrero, A. (2016). Quantification of flash flood economic risk using ultra‑detailed stage–damage functions and 2‑D hydraulic models. Journal of Hydrology, 541, 611–625. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.02.006
Guhathakurta, P., Sreejith, O. P., & Menon, P. A. (2011). Impact of climate change on extreme rainfall events and flood risk in India. Journal of Earth System Science, 120(3), 359–373. http://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-011-0082-5
Gupta, V. K., & Mesa, O. J. (1988). Runoff generation and hydrologic response via channel network. Journal of Hydrology, 102(1–4), 3–28. https://doi.org/10.1016/00221694(88)90089-3
Gustard, A., Bullock, A., & Dixon, J. M. (1992). Low flow estimation in the United Kingdom. Institute of Hydrology.
Johnstone, J. F., Chapin, F. S., Foote, J., Kemmett, S., Price, K., & Viereck, L. (2004). Fire, climate change, and forest resilience in interior Alaska. Science, 305(5685), 1234–1236. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1098941
Kendall, M. G. (1975). Rank correlation methods. Charles Griffin.
McMillan, H. (2020). Linking hydrologic signatures to hydrologic processes: A review. Hydrological Processes, 34(6), 1393–1409.  https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13632
Neilson, B. T., Tennant, H., Barnes, M., Stout, T., Miller, M. P., Gabor, R. S. (2018). Stream-Centric Methods for Determining Groundwater Contributions in Karst Mountain Watersheds. Water Resources Research, 54(9), 6708–6724. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR022664.
Negese, A. (2021). Impacts of land use and land cover change on soil erosion and sediment yield in the Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia. Applied and Environmental Soil Science, 2021, Article ID 6669438.
Ni, J., Liu, S., Huang, Y., & Gao, Y. (2024). Temperature and plant root effects on soil hydrological response and slope stability. Computers and Geotechnics, 174, 106663. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2024.106663
Nicótina, L., Alessi Celegon, E., Rinaldo, A., & Marani, M. (2008). On the impact of rainfall patterns on the hydrologic response. Water Resources Research, 44(12), W12401. https://doi.org/10.1029/2007WR006654
Nippgen, F., McGlynn, B. L., Marshall, L. A., & Emanuel, R. E. (2011). Landscape structure and climate influences on hydrologic response. Water Resources Research, 47(12), W12533. http://doi.org/10.1029/2011wr011161
Oudin, L., Andréassian, V., Perrin, C., Michel, C., & Le Moine, N. (2008). Spatial proximity, physical similarity, regression and ungaged catchments: A comparison of regionalization approaches based on 913 French catchments. Water Resources Research, 44(3), W03413.
Poblete, D., Arévalo, J., Nicolis, O., & Figueroa, F. (2020). Optimization of Hydrologic Response Units (HRUs) using gridded meteorological data and spatially varying parameters. Water, 12(12), 3558. https://doi.org/10.3390/w12123558
Posavec, K., Bačani, A., & Nakić, Z. (2006). A Visual Basic spreadsheet macro for estimating groundwater recharge. Ground Water, 44(5), 764–767. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.2006.00226.x.
Samela, C., Albano, R., Sole, A., & Manfreda, S. (2018). A GIS tool for cost-effective delineation of flood-prone areas. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 70, 43–52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2018.01.013
Sarah, S., Shah, W., Somers, L., Deshpande, R. D., & Ahmed, S. (2024). Saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksat) and topographic controls on base flow contribution in high-altitude aquifers with complex geology. Journal of Hydrology, 647, Article 131763. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131763
Smakhtin, V. U. (2001). Estimating continuous monthly base flow and groundwater recharge from streamflow records: A comparison of techniques. Water SA, 27(2), 183–191. http://doi.org/10.4314/wsa.v27i2.4995
Strahler, A.N. (1964). Quantitative geomorphology of drainage basins and channel networks. In Handbook of applied hydrology.
 Talaksen, L. M. (1995). A review of base flow recession analysis. Journal of Hydrology, 165(1–4), 349–370. https://doi.org/10.1016/00221694(94)02540-R
Trenberth, K. E. (2005). The impact of climate change and variability on the hydrological cycle and water resources. Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences, 17, 1–11. http://doi.org/10.1002/0470848944.hsa211
Voesenek, L. A., & Bailey‐Serres, J. (2015). Flood adaptive traits and processes: An overview. New Phytologist, 206(1), 57–73. https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.13209
Wang, C. Y., & Manga, M. (2010). Hydrologic responses to earthquakes and a general metric. Geofluids, 10(1–2), 206–216. http://doi.org/10.1111/j.14688123.2009.00270.x

  • Receive Date 08 March 2025
  • Revise Date 27 April 2025
  • Accept Date 15 June 2025